Thursday, April 28, 2011

Keynes vs. Hayek: Round 2 - Smarter than Gaga, Better than Cee-Lo

Every once in a while something comes along that is so tremendously beautiful that you wish everyone could appreciate it. Many, many months ago EconStories put together a really well done rap featuring the dueling ideologies (and characters) of John Maynard Keynes and F.A. Hayak, the author of The Road to Serfdom. The sequel was released today. I first saw it when Indiana liberty advocate Amy Hagerstrom posted it on Facebook [link to my Facebook page]. It had around 3,000 views at that time. This evening it us up over 81,000.

Not only is this music video very, very well done but the message is educational. The combination of such a well done presentation of the opposing ideas of two leading 20th Century economists is absolutely beautiful to behold. So, please listen to and enjoy this and appreciate the differences these two gentlemen and their economic ideas represent. One has a preference for top down, central government planning and the other for a bottom up, each person controlling their own decisions approach. I've put transcribed lyrics below courtesy of HayekCenter.org. [Bold emphasis is mine]


Keynes vs. Hayek Round Two: The Fight of the Century
Round 2





KEYNES: Here we are. Peace out. Great Recession. Thanks to ME. As you see. We’re not in a depression. Recovery. Destiny. If you follow my lesson. More Keynes. Here I come. Line up for the procession.

HAYEK: We brought out the shovels and we’re still in a ditch. And still digging. Don’t you think it’s time for a switch from that hair of the dog. Friend the party is over, the long run is here, it’s time to get sober.

KEYNES: Are you kidding? My cure works perfectly fine. Have a look. The recession ended in ’09. I deserve credit. Things would have been worse. All the estimates prove it. I’ll go chapter and verse.

HAYEK: Econometricians, they’re ever too pious. Are they doing real science or confirming their bias? Their Keynesian models are tidy and neat. But that top down approach is a fatal conceit.

KEYNES: We could have done better if we’d only spent more. Too bad that only happens when there’s a world war. You can carp all you want about stats and regression. Do you deny that world war cut short the Depression?

HAYEK: Wow. One data point and you’re jumping for joy. The last time I checked wars only destroy. There was no multiplier. Consumption just shank as we used scarce resources for every new tank. Pretty perverse to call that prosperity. Ration meat. Ration butter. A life of austerity. When that war spending ended, your friends cried disaster. Yet the economy thrived and grew faster.

KEYNES: You too only see what you want to see. The spending on war clearly goosed GDP. Unemployment was over, almost down to zero. That’s why I’M the master. That’s why I’M the hero.

HAYEK: Creating employment is a straight forward craft when the nation’s at war and there’s a draft. If every worker were staffed in the army and fleet we’d have full employment and nothing to eat.

HAYEK: Jobs are a means, not the end in themselves. People work to live better, to put food on the shelves. Real growth means production of what people demand. That’s entrepreneurship, not your central plan.

KEYNES: My solution is simple and easy to handle. It’s spending that matters. Why’s that such a scandal. Money sloshes through the pipes and the sluices. Revitalizing the economy’s juices. It’s just like an engine that’s stalled and gone dark. To bring it to life we need a quick spark. Spending the life blood that gets the flow going. Were it goes doesn’t matter. Just Get Spending Flowing.

HAYEK: You see slack in some sectors as a general glut. But some sectors are health only some in a rut. So spending’s not free, that’s the heart of the matter. Too much is wasted as cronies get fatter.

The economy’s not a car. There’s no engine to stall. No experts can fix it. There’s no “it” at all. The economy is us. Put away your wrenches, the economy is organic.

KEYNES: So what would YOU do to help those unemployed? This is the question you seem to avoid. When we’re in a mess, would you have us just wait, doing nothing until markets equilibrate?

HAYEK: I don’t wanna do nothing, there’s plenty to do. The question I ponder is who plans for whom. Do I plan for myself or I leave it to you. I want plans by the many, not by the few. Let’s not repeat what created our troubles. I want real growth not a series of bubbles. Stop bailing out losers, let prices work. If we don’t try to steer them they won’t go berserk.

KEYNES: Come on are you kidding? Don’t Wall Street gyrations challenge the world view of self regulation? Even you must admit that lesson we’ve learned is more oversight is needed or else we’ll get burned.

HAYEK: Oversight? The government’s long been in bed with those Wall Street execs and the firms that they’ve bled. Capitalism is about profit and loss. You bail out the losers there is no end to the cost. The lesson I’ve learned is how little we know. The world is complex, not some circular flow. The economy is not a class you master in college, to think otherwise is the pretense of knowledge.

KEYNES: You’ve been on your high horse and you are off to the the races. I look at the world on a case-by-case basis. When people are suffering I roll up my sleeves and do what I can to cure our disease. The future’s uncertain, our outlooks are frail. That’s why markets are so prone to fail. In a volatile world we need more discretion so state intervention can counter depression.

HAYEK: People aren’t chess men you move on a board at your whim, their dreams and desires ignored. With political incentives, discretion’s a joke. Those dials are twisting – just mirrors and smoke. We need stable rules and real market prices so prosperity emerges and cuts short the crisis. Give us a chance so we can discover the most valuable ways to serve one another.



Monday, April 25, 2011

Ron Paul Prepares To Enter 2012 Presidential Race


As the liberty rumor mill heats up this evening over the prospect that Texas Congressman Ron Paul is preparing to announce the formation of his 2012 presidential exploratory committee the headline on Drudge seeming to indicate the eve of welcome news.


In 2008 Ron Paul, who had difficulty getting respect from the mainstream political and media establishments as well as traction in his campaign, tried desperately to educate and warn the country about the dangers of loose monetary policy and expensive, budget-busting overseas militarism. The establishment “know-it-alls” and the conservative talking head puppets that everyone likes to just parrot instead of thinking for themselves tried the damndest to discredit him; but, increasingly Ron's predictions and warnings turned out to be spot on.


Ron tried to tell us that we could face a future monetary crisis, a devaluation of the dollar and a loss of credibility worldwide for not only the United States itself, but for what has been until recently the undisputed reserve currency of the world. Ron has railed against the growing nanny and police state. Ron had predicted the challenges that Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac would face and tried to get the attention of Congress on the likely failure of those government sponsored entities. He told us gold and silver, now at or near all-time highs, were good stores of value and that we faced a massive rise in inflation and commodity prices as a result of Federal Reserve Policy.


Even Ron's economic advisor in 2008, Peter Schiff had been laughed off of television shows when he had previously predicted the collapse of the mortgage market. I think only Ben Stein has since apologized to Peter, who is now much more respected than he was in 2007 or 2008 and even made a run for the Connecticut Republican nomination for U.S. Senate in 2010. To illustrate the problem people with a clue have in getting elected, Schiff, who saw our entire mess coming, tried to warn us and who has strong free market, pro-freedom credibility couldn't get the Republican Party's nomination. That doesn't give me much confidence in the Republican Party's ability to save our country; but, how the party faithful react to people like Ron Paul and Gary Johnson in 2011 and 2012 will tell us a lot about whether we can have hope or not.


So, how fitting is it that as the Drudge Report headline of “Ron Paul: He's In!” hit the Internet this evening that the surrounding headlines read, at least momentarily...

“Dollar's Decline Speeds Up”

“China planning to cut U.S. Reserves by two-thirds?”

“Gold and silver continue to surge. . .”

“Military patrols start in downtown Columbus, GA. . .”

“IMF: Age of America Nears End. . .”

“Gas prices rise for 34th straight day...”


Add to those headlines that despite all of the talk of “Hope and Change” in 2008 we still have troops in Afghanistan, we're still sending drones into Pakistan, still have special units and contractors in Iraq, but now we've added Libya to the mix of countries we're overtly bombing or meddling in.


As I've written before, Conservatives like to talk a big game about the government staying out of people's lives and wallets. Does it ever occur to them that people in foreign nations want the U.S. Government out of their lives and wallets too? And always remember that it is perfectly okay to love your country and hate your government. Those two things are not mutually exclusive, especially when the government is doing its most incompetent and oppressive best to undermine the country, your countrymen and the high standing we once held in the world.


So, now is the time to lay down the gauntlet. To look every Republican voter right square in the eyes and tell them, “You say you're for small Constitutional government, low or no taxes, personal responsibility, individual freedom and a government that minds its own business and protects your privacy. You say you want honest, trustworthy politicians.”


“PROVE IT. Support Ron Paul for President in 2012.”


And if they give you some lame excuse about why they can't. Please ask them to get the hell out of the way because there are some of us out there who really do desire to live free, amongst free people in a free country. The way it is supposed to be. I have my own “contract with America” called The Constitution that says so.